The Crash of ’29 Compared to Our Current Crisis

October 6th, 2008 by Randy Peterman No comments »

After reading Wikipedia’s entry on the causes of the Great Depression I was to say the least: interested in churning through the philosophical differences between varying views.  I’d love to write whole essays on the subjects, but for now I’ll delve into the first bits and then if interest shows up I’ll write more.  Here’s the first quote from Wikipedia that grabbed me:

Those who believe in a large role for governments in the economy believe it was mostly a failure of the free markets and those who believe in free markets believe it was mostly a failure of government that compounded the problem.

This is a false dichotomy.  There is a need for us to recognize the two conceptual entities, but they operate like conjoined twins with the same heart: the people that make them up.  In the United States that is the voters and the consumers, who are not one-and-the-same, but very nearly one-and-the-same.  We elect leaders and while we don’t vote on every issue ourselves, we have an impact as a corporate group.  And as consumers we impact the buying and selling trends.  Peter of Bible Money Matters tweeted earlier today, “Does it seem like a major component of the current financial crisis is fear? Maybe things wouldn’t be so bad if everyone didn’t panic.”  The problem is that emotion controls the market to a certain degree.  I’ve written before that emotions cost me a huge amount of money.  Huge.  All because of emotions.  But I am not about to make the false assessment that the consumer and the government are only related superficially and really operate separately.  Its a simple assertion that shifts blame, but the reality is that we’re in this together.

In the Wikipedia section that talks about Debt it is interesting to see how they assert that over-bearing debt leads to a downward spiral of financial catastrophe.  There has been a common mindset in the last several decades that debt lubricates the system and keeps the machine of industry going.  While I will agree that it can help facilitate in some situations, it doesn’t keep the industry going indefinitely and debt that is unchecked clearly leads to collapse or major, major turmoil.  This is true in the American household and also proves out in business and government.  Germany after World War I was so financially beaten down by war debts that their money was hyper-inflated.  The debt killed their economy.  Our current United States dollar is flailing in the water due to its being produced ‘cheaply’ and flooding the market.  Our debt is costing us.

Money Supply is next on the list at Wikipedia.  Interestingly enough the philosophy held by at least some is that the central bank controls the supply of money and that during the great depression the supply of money available on the market was trickled down to a fraction of what was available earlier in the decade.  The problem is that inflation is happening by ‘over-supplying’ the money.  So if over-supply stops the economy from slowing down, but causes inflation, which causes other economic issue you still have to answer the question of why supply of money being more liberal (by which I mean more readily available and am not talking about politics) is overall a better thing?  I imagine that like many things this comes down to moderation.  If the Federal Reserve had loosened things up back in the 30′s it might have been beneficial, but not as loose as they are now, in which case we’ve seen an extreme pendulum swing.

My Own Personal Philosophy

I had a boss at a Christian Book Store in College who made a statement that has set in my mind as an axiom of truth: Good businessmen pay their employees wages that respect the needs of the employee.  This is to say that if the employee needs $1,000.00 a month to live and provide for his family, then that’s what the business person pays the employee.  The business person knows that its better to take moral comfort in knowing that you provided for your employees, and the employees know it, than to drive an insanely expensive vehicle, to live in a mansion, or to die rich, but still be dead.  This is not anti-capitalist.  It is not anti-wealth, it is just encouraging fiscal responsibility.

Furthermore, employees should be willing to work dilligently to make the business profitable or more profitable and not just do the least amount of work possible.  This respects the business person’s leadership and provision.  I work as a contractor for a group of four men who own and operate a company with roughly 50 employees and contractors.  Their respect and care for employees is stunning.  Part of why I have chosen to continue my relationship with them for more than 8 years is because they take care of me.  I work hard to take care of them as well.  They have earned my respect and so I work hard to make sure that their needs are met or exceeded where possible.

The crash of 1929 and the following great depression have some similarities.  Government doesn’t deserve all of the blame, neither do the masses of consumers, or the big businesses.  Instead we all own this responsibility.  We all fail, or we all succeed together.  If this is a recession, a depression or any other financial scenario it is something that we work through as a global community, a nation, a state, a county, a city and a neighborhood.  We work on it together and we grow – that’s something that we need no matter the time.

Drinking and Driving in Congress

October 3rd, 2008 by Randy Peterman No comments »

Congress “bailed” out on the economy. The $700,000,000,000.00 bailout bled into a disgusting amount of pork including millions and millions for foreign alcohol and auto race tracks. Drinking and driving. Pardon me while I hurl. It’s not a hang over.

I had a woman ask me if I was registered to vote tonight. I responded affirmatively and then immediately another woman asked if I was voting for Obama. I responded in the negative and then told her I was also not voting for McCain either. I told her I thought they were both scoundrels and then took off before completely losing my cool. I hate to say it but both senators have been so dishonest and pig headed in this debacle that I may very well write in my own father as my vote. He’s not going to run for office, but he’s as honest as they come – and I need some honesty right now.

Smokey the Bear Knew Something About the Markets

October 1st, 2008 by Randy Peterman No comments »

Right now the stock markets are an exciting place, you might say.  Exciting like a forest fire.  They’re exciting because everyone is exiting.  The exiting is a direct relationship between sheep.  Sheep and Smokey the Bear need to talk.  Do you remember Smokey the Bear saying, “Only YOU can prevent forest fires?”  If you live in the desert, I apologize: forest fires happen when trees, which grow together in forests, get caught on fire and the fire jumps from tree to tree spreading across the scenery.

Sheep, much like trees tend to grow in groups, move in flocks.  And when you light one sheep on fire, the fire tends to spread to the other sheep.  Well, not actually, I’ve never seen one sheep on fire let alone many sheep on fire.  But if you chase one sheep the rest of the sheep will follow.  They’re dumb like that.  I have chased many sheep in my youth and know from first hand experience that one sheep will do something dumb and pretty much the whole herd will follow them.  Off of steep ledges, around paths that are dead ends, it doesn’t matter: one sheep follows the next and the scenery never changes.

The scenery never changes.  Think about that.

If your financial information scenary is the sheep bum that you’ve always seen: you’re probably investing sheepishly rather than wisely.  During the stock market crash of the 1930′s some companies grew.  Not all investors were in those companies (obviously), but not all investors lost everything in the crash.  Lots of sheep lost a lot of money.  Some very wise ‘rogue’ investors were able to make a killing and had money to spend in the 1930′s.  They came out ahead and they grew their investment portfolio, their businesses, and their lives.

Smokey the Bear knows that you can prevent forest fires, but you, too, can help prevent the financial crisis that we’re seeing in the news.  The news is in part, the giant, broadcast sheep butt of the ether.  I know that’s a bit odd to read, but if your source of financial information includes the news its the same source as everyone else who is looking at the giant sheep butt.  They need a change of scenery.  The markets can only turn around if the buyers into the market, and that’s you, buy into the market.  Only you can make that choice.  No one else can make that choice for you.

This isn’t advice to blindly buy into the market, its advice to seek wise counsel, and then consider your opportunities.  The whole market is a shifting mechanism that depends, in part, on the whim of the masses, but smart investors are not swayed, they’re focused.  Don’t panic, panic leads to irrational decisions.  Instead, make sure you are getting useful, accurate information.  If it takes a periscope to see up above the sheep butts, get a periscope.  If it takes stopping while the rest of the flock goes ahead of you, stop.  But don’t make herd-mentality decisions.

Remember, only you can prevent forest fires and stock market fire sales.

Bail Them Out Like This: Send Me the Money

September 23rd, 2008 by Randy Peterman No comments »

I think that if the federal government is going to bail out the bad debt for homes (and other things) that got loans that they should, since they’re giving the money away, pay the debt back through the people.  Not really.  But if you think about it wouldn’t it be better to 1) Bail out the people and 2) bail out the companies rather than 1) bail out the companies and 2) then leave the people who are also in over their heads out in the streets?

The problem that we have is that our economy is like a ship.  On the outer part of the ship there is a ring of cups that line the ship.  We’ll pretend that they’re cups of the masses.  If you are reading this, you’re a cup.  Inside the circle of cups is a bank of kettles that form another ring.  The kettles are the financial institutions (this illustration is flawed and no other companies are in it) and inside of the kettles is the hull of the ship, which is wide open.  This ship has been sailing along and the cups have been taking on water.  Which is OK, because the water is then taken on by the kettles because they’ve worked out ‘water loan’ programs to save the cups from being overwhelmed.  All of the water that the kettles were holding was supposed to be put back into the cups as the cups could take the water back.  Except that the kettles were taking in water they had no room for.

Never fear because the hull of the ship can take the water from the kettles!

Except that the hull of the ship has been over six trillion gallons of water full.  So the kettles loading their water into the hull doesn’t keep the cups from over-flowing because the kettles have more room for water.  Instead the whole ship capsizes because the hull, which was flooding with trillions of gallons of water, takes on the kettles of water.  So the ship goes under and the water, which has always been there, is now just re-distributed to other places.  The ship may come back after its been hauled to port, completely gutted, rebuilt and restored, but the damage at present is so severe that it cannot recover with the current system.

I don’t know if that illustration makes any sense but it is how I’m seeing our current economic crisis.  If we were to enable the cups to take back more water from the kettles through emptying their contents into the hull: we still get an overwhelmed hull.  We have problems at each level because the system never took into account that taking on water is a bad idea on ANY boat.  You can put it in a gold chalice, a silver spoon or a dixie cup and its still not intended to be IN the boat.

I do agree with wisebread though: the housing market is NOT the problem.

Hey, What If I Posted to This Blog?

September 20th, 2008 by Randy Peterman No comments »

Nah.  That would be silly.

The truth is that I’ve been busy, barely focused on my finances (sometimes in a good way, sometimes not) and generally just making due with the interwebs.  I’ve been considering wrapping this blog into my main website and throwing it in a sub-domain.  If I do that I can wait 6 months and re-sell watchmymoneymaker.com to the highest bidder and make a little extra side-cash.  Of course the problem with doing so will be that someone somewhere is going to have broken backlinks that will probably link to a person selling something naughty due to the double entendre of the name.  Ha ha – funny trumped the thought of me ever doing anything perverse, but I didn’t stop to consider the consequences of selling the domain later and just rolling things into my regular hosted domain.  Lesson learned.

In other news you really should go check out Around the World with Benito.  Ben has a great writing style and hits on topics like the economy, world energy, capitalism and religion.  The only taboo topic he hasn’t written about yet is sex, but I think his wife would kill him if he did – which reminds me that he wrote about terrorism, too.  Ben has been a personal friend for a long time and he and I were in a band together in High School called Forgiven.  We probably stank it up, but we only did a few shows.  One to an audience that primarily did not speak English (all of our lyrics were in English).  We rocked the house for sure.

Sugar Coated Taxi Faries

August 29th, 2008 by Randy Peterman 3 comments »

Good golly, I had to take a Taxi yesterday to get from an airport to a hotel.  $20.00.  Gone.  Yikes!  I think we drove several miles.  But I’m not sure, I just watched the meter and enjoyed every inch of pavement that I could.  Which in case you’ve not been in a car before, is not really a high-pleasure experience.  I’d like to thank the taxi driver for the fine Cubanisimo music his iPod was playing.  It really gave me great pleasure to enjoy the latin grooves that the whole ensemble was playing.  There is nothing quite as refreshing as a latin groove in exepensive transportation.  Four out of Five dentists polled recommended it to their patients.

So after paying the fine man for driving me a distance and then being fare about it, I met up with a colleague, walked to a somewhat nearby eating establishment and then nearly bled from my eyes when the bill for a hot dog and a soda came to just under $12.00.  For that price I could almost get to the airport!  Fortunately the food gave me sustenance enough to maintain me for long enough to make it to dinner where someone else was paying.  But seriously?!  $12.00?  It wasn’t even a big cup!

And thus, as I leave off here I want to make this one reccomendation: never leave your homes, and by all means never travel.  Traveling is expensive and there isn’t much good that comes from it except that you can see new places and have new experiences in life.  But that’s over-rated.  You can have new experiences by eating dirt and trying new food.  Oh, and if someone else takes you out to Del Frisco’s I LOVED their crab cake and I LOVED their potatoes aug gratin.  I hesitate to call any food perfect, but I don’t hesitate to call these perfect, they were that good.

Sleeper Cell

August 26th, 2008 by Randy Peterman 2 comments »

I’m pretty sure a sleeper cell has nothing to do with this post.  In fact I’m positive other than I did not sleep last night as my mind ran through worst case scenarios for a major software release today.  Hooray for butterflies!

Since posting about a month ago about stinking on keeping track of money I’ve been using Mint.com.  Yup, I’m using an online service.  So far I’m not thrilled with where we’re at and what we have to do to get where we need to be.  That’s rather blunt, but the financial news just seems to be pouring in about how banks are on the fritz, my home loan is going to cause my pants to explode, and how Warren Buffet is sad about the economy but generally not personally worried that he’ll lose all of his tens of billions.

I’ve also started a quick & dirty coffee blog with a couple friends (if you would like to join and write about coffees you’re enjoying/trying, shoot me an email.  You can read about my first of six beans that I’m roasting from the latest order here.

As for the Watch My Money Maker Weekly podcast I need to get on that.  I’ve got 100 excuses, all of which end in, “but I just didn’t make it a priority.”  So since this weekend I’ll be out of town and solo I may have time since I don’t tend to sleep a lot on trips like this.  Sleep is over-rated any way.

Getting Real About Coffee & Cost

August 12th, 2008 by Randy Peterman 1 comment »
Three different roasts of the same bean

Three different roasts of the same bean

I’m a coffee snob.  Not the kind that thinks that every bean they drink should be a peaberry, or from a certain region, or roasted to a certain doneness, or should be brewed with water that is a certain temperature (though all of those count for good coffee to your taste).  I’m the kind of coffee snob that, when given the choice, will choose to be picky, but I will gladly take a cup of the nasty stuff if that’s all you have – it may not be nasty to you.  I may know about coffee just a bit, but I’m not a punk :)   This article is to outline the large amount of money I don’t lay out to have high end coffee.

I Bought My Own Roaster
If you’ve never seen coffee roasted, you really should check it out.  Its quite amazing to see the beans go from green to brown (and beyond to nearly black in some cases).  Getting my own Fresh Roast roaster was well worth the cost and the ability to do the rest of the process with green beans was well worth it as well.  The roaster costs around $80.00 US Dollars.  It produces small amounts of roasted beans per batch time, each roasting batch produces enough beans for me to French Press one 8 cup container.

I Buy Different Kinds of Beans
From web sites like Sweet Maria’s or Burman Coffee you can buy pounds of green beans for less than you would buy them from stores like Whole Foods who freshly roast their coffee there.  Don’t get me started on the ‘freshness’ of Starbucks or other brands who consider their coffee fresh for months.  Coffee doesn’t stay fresh that long.  Ever.  Unless its green beans you’re storing.  By buying different kinds of beans (both sites listed above describe the beans and their optimal roast) I can explore my palet, I can explore the bean’s varieties, and I can do it at home for a few dollars a pound (or more in some cases) but much less than at other fresh roasting sites.

I Burr Grind
There are several different designs of grinders, there are blade grinders which don’t grind at all, they chop.  Then there are the burr grinders which tend to produce consistently sized coffee grounds.  If you were to buy an espresso machine you would most definitely want a burr grinder, and you’d want a high end one.  For French Press the $40.00 Cuisinart model I picked up at Costco will do fine.  Even coffee grounds mean even flavors and consistent cups of coffee.  This of course assumes you’re buying whole beans.  If you aren’t buying whole beans you’re letting much of the oils that bring flavor into the cup evaporate out of your coffee before you brew it.

I French Press
Instead of a latte or espresso, I use the French Press, which is somewhat like an Americano if you’ve ever had one of those at Starbucks.  The French Press cost me $29.99 at Target just a few weeks ago (I had another French Press, but the glass accidentally got broken).  You can get them for more or less – it depends on the style and the volume of the container.  I liked my 8 cup container (that’s 8 cups of coffe, where each cup is 4 ounces).  The French Press gives you a more intense coffee flavor than a drip brewer, but it is not as demanding as the espresso machines and is just a fraction of the cost.  If I become wealthy some day I’ll get an espresso machine, but for the present I’m content with my French Press.  You can also make tasty chocolate milk with a French Press (but wash it good when you’re done).

Things I don’t do:

  • Buy pods and single use units
  • Bake my coffee with a drip maker that burns the coffee throughout the day
  • Store my beans in the freezer (don’t do this ever)
  • Drink cheap coffee because “cheaper is better”
  • Spill the beans
  • Add sugar to my coffee to cut the acidic, ashy taste that the Pike Place Roast from Starbucks has

Making great coffee for cheaper than you thought was possible – is possible.  Making tasty coffee with flavors you never knew existed is easy.  I have tasted fruitiness, floweriness, chocolates, caramels and a bunch of other flavors in coffee that I didn’t know existed.  Give it a try.  You can work your way into these things slowly.  If you were going to buy one item at a time (and that’s recommendable) then I would make the following purchases in this order:

  1. French Press
  2. Burr Grinder
  3. Roaster & Green Beans

All of this costs approximately $150.00 total at suggested retail.  Of course each item could be picked up for less if you search – but once you’ve picked up the equipment you’ll be getting top notch coffee for $6.00 or less a pound.  That’s half the cost per pound compared to Starbucks, Whole Foods or other brands.  And Fresh.  Did I mention its fresh?  Because it is, and tasty.

Picked Last

August 12th, 2008 by Randy Peterman 2 comments »

I suck at money management.  If there was something I was not good at, it is actually managing my money.  I am a sucker for instant gratification.  Here’s a quote from a friend of mine that has nothing to do with personal finance on the surface, but has everything to do with it in principle.  I asked her about what her tryouts involved for a High School Volleyball team:

“Um, 3 hours of watching girls that think they can play… girls that really can play and girls that have no skill but are there because someone said that they were good once.  And then at the end of the week: cutting them.”

I would be the player that thinks he can play.  I am not the player that knows he can play, I am not the player that anyone ever told that I could play.  I would be the self-decieved player.

But the good thing about the self-decieved player is that the player has intentions.  Good intentions.  Intentions that are tied to potential.  Not in a ‘motivational poster that is so unreal that nobody would buy it’ sort of way, but with the passion that may some day turn into an acceptable utility player that isn’t the team captain, or the super-star, but is the person who keeps the team going with drive and is one of the many.

I’m the guy who is picked last.  But I’m working on being the guy you’d pick 5th.  I’m OK with fifth because at least its a step up.  I’m OK with being picked last as long as I’m picked.  Right field is awesome, catcher is awesome.  I don’t need to be the star, I don’t need to be the slugger, I just need to get on base.  Our finances have slipped some recently and I’m the guy responsible for that.

We’re not staying here.  We’re going to kick this into high gear.  We’re going to kill our darlings.  We’re going to plug the leaks and batton down the hatches.  We’re going to mix our metaphors until the cows come home.  But we’re not going to stay last.  We’re going to stay home – instead of eating out.

Setting Goals For Your Marriage

August 8th, 2008 by Randy Peterman No comments »
Set Your Goals Together

Set Your Goals Together

What’s a marriage without somewhere to go?  What are you two going to be doing in five years?  Where is your dream home/destination together?  Goals are good – as long as you’re flexible.  In our marriage we have a policy of setting goals that are unanimous.  That doesn’t mean we have the same initial priority for the goals, but we make those goals and priorities unified through discussion.  Financially speaking this has come up as the increase of gasoline, goods, and services causes us to evaluate where we’re going to be adjusting our budget to either trim back in intended purchases or cut out something else to fund the excess in price.

Here are some thoughts on setting goals:

  • Know your own goals first – ask your spouse to do the same – coming together prepared to discuss the topic is of great importance.
  • Know the priorities of your goals – just because eventually you want to do something doesn’t mean that its your priority for execution.  You may want to be a millionaire eventually, but your priority needs to be getting out of debt first so you can focus on the accumulation of the wealth.
  • Be flexible as you discuss the goals so that you can maximize your effectiveness in communication.  As a husband in a Christian household where I’m supposed to lead (Eph. 5:22-25) I don’t take that duty of leadership lightly, or to mean I need to act as a dictator.  Instead we lovingly and graciously discuss the goals as we’re called to (Ephesians 5:21).
  • Keep groups of goals.  For our household that has meant buying a Nintendo Wii in the fun category or group and getting out of debt quickly in the finances category.  Those two groups appear as conflicts and so we’re having to prioritize and be flexible.  By grouping the goals you’ll be able to get more perspective than simply listing out 200 goals and then sorting them by priority.  Once you knock out a goal in a group: move to the next one – keeping in mind the other goal groups.
  • Keep the importance of time in context as you set goals.  If a Wii is your goal, but a low priority, then let it slip into getting a Wii 2 or ‘the best gaming console at the time (or whatever they call it).
  • Make a plan for execution.  If you’re going to be a millionaire don’t just hope it happens, make a plan.  If you’re going to buy a Wii while paying off debt, make a plan.  That may mean setting aside $20.00 a month or some other number until you’ve achieved the amount you’re after.
  • Make sure you have rest and are emotionally ready to discuss things.  Sometimes health, sleep or some other distraction will keep you from being mentally ready for this discussion.  Don’t let it slip forever, but make sure you’re both ready.

This list is short and has generalizations, but its a start.  What else would you add?